Things seem to be shaping up quickly as we have had our first round of debates and who said what. It’s no surprise to anyone (except the Republican leaders) that more than one or two GOP possible candidates are in the anti-politician camp. In the DNC camp it’s seems to be Hilary as candidate, regardless of whatever has happened in the past, even though there are some other very viable Democratic candidates. Then, there are the Independents who say “No more Clinton’s or Bush’s in the White House, enough is enough”. Political Royalty? Fuhgeddaboudit.
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The DNC has options besides Hilary. While these folks aren’t exactly household names, they could become the front runners. Governor Chafe (R.I.), Governor O’Malley (Maryland), Senator Webb (Virginia) and of course Senator Sanders (Vermont). Sanders has been getting popular reviews for drawing large crowds everywhere he goes with his message. The other woman that is still in the possible DNC camp of possible candidates is Senator Elizabeth Warren (Massachusetts), even though she has repeatedly stated she will not run.
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While some in the establishment of long time GOP mainstream are scrambling to figure out what’s going on, and the DNC is waiting on results from investigations, many voters seem to know exactly what they want. And it appears what they want is someone running for president who ignores regular “business as usual” in Washington.
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Over this past week the GOP “powers-that-be-temple” is showing visible signs of cracking. FOX News just released a report that shows Trump at 25%, Carson at 12%, and Ted Cruz at 10%. Even Carly Fiorina who was nowhere to be seen in the polls just months ago is now polling at 5% and has moved into 7th place. We’ll see her in the next national debate with the A-Team. Other candidates who are a tad more acceptable to the GOP mainstream machine are struggling to remain relevant in the primary. Jeb Bush has dropped below double digits to 9%, Huckabee at 7%, Scott Walker at 6% to round out the top seven candidates.
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So what about the GOP candidates with almost no pulse in the polls? They are; Kasich, Rubio, Rand Paul, Christie, Santorum, Perry, Jindal and Pataki. While it’s too early to count any of these folks as down and out, it certainly appears they are on the endangered list of also-ran’s.
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While many agree that Trump is a GOP wild card and the GOP establishment simply cannot make him go away, there is a real possibility he could win. The American public has been voting with their hearts instead of their heads lately. Arnold Schwarzenegger, Republican two time Governor of California? What about Independent Jesse Ventura Governor of Minnesota? And then there’s Comedians, such as Democrat Al Franken getting elected as a Senator? Hummmm….think about it.
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In the DNC camp the Clinton team is struggling. Hilary recently skipped a news forum for reporters that attended to hear her side of the story about the email scandal that keeps dogging her. And what about her excuse for the no show? “Regular voters don’t care about the e-mail scandal” she replied. Hummmm…. So now there’s scuttlebutt about the current V.P. Joe Biden or Al Gore preparing for a run if Hilary implodes. As the FBI has taken over the investigation we will know soon enough. But the lions are circling her camp as we speak. Bob Baer CNN and former CIA operative stated that if he had done what Hilary has done “I’d get fired the same day.” Then Baer continued “I can’t tell you how bad this is.”
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If nothing else, be prepared for some serious political entertainment over these next several months. The DNC has their National Convention in Philadelphia and the GOP National Convention is in Cleveland both in July 2016. The Libertarian National Convention is in Orlando in May 2016.
Oh, and BTW, don’t bet the farm just yet……. on anything.
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Click here for the full version of the September newsletter.
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David S. Edge
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